The events of
the Middle East head towards a new regional and global system, in the last
quarter of 2017 and the first few months of 2018 there were Gulf Crisis, reform
attempts in Saudi Arabia with the support of Trump administration, the failure
of Kurdish bid for independence, the resining of Lebanon PM Saad Hariri,
killing the former president of Yemen Ali Abula Salih, the warm relations among
Russia-Turkey, Iran-Turkey, the defeat
of ISIS in Iraq, New coalition of Israel-Saudi Arabia- UAE, the decision to
move American Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, then announcing new strategy
for national security of America, the protests and demonstrations inside Iran
and American threats to cancel the Nuclear deal with Iran and Group (5+1).
After Sykes Picot agreement of 1916 and Balfor treaty of 1917 some new
states were established in the end of WWI, The Othoman Empire also collapsed.
These new state forming attempts was based on ethnic imbalance, dividing of
land and at the expense of the rights and demands of other nations. On the hand
this also lead to external internventions and adminsitering Middlea East from
outside through western colonialism which all led too a new threatening and
horrific era.
After almost one century of the history of Middle East still there is
now security and stability in this region. All the important events taking
place in MENA in the end of 2017 and begning of 2018 cannot be considered as
normal events in regional security. These are only the begning of a new era for
reshaping the region and creating a new regional and global system, the
question is what about the nature of the regional and global order in the
Middle East? This is a standard academic attempt by MIRS to study the roles and
impacts of all actors in this region.
First Section: Saudi Arabia and Israel
coalition
Donald Trump, the USA President for the first time in his Presidency he
visited Saudi Arabia on May 2017. Many political observers argued that the
purpose of this visit was to mend the relations between Israel and Saudi
Arabia. After visiting Saudi Arabia Trump visited Israel so that both USA and
Israel sort out many Middle Easters issues: among them, preventing Iranian and
Shiite expansitionsm, Iranian interventions and meddling in Iraq, Syria,
Lebnanon, Palestine, Yemen, and the threat Iran poses on the security of Arab
Gulf countries. Therefore, one can argue that the political observers were
right in noticing an attempt to form a coalition among Israel and Saudi Arab
and this coalition become a fact in:
- The
overal events of the last half of 2017 showed that there is military
cooperation between Saudi Arabia and Israel. Mike Pompeo, the chief of CIA in
December 2017 explained that Saudi Arabia is directly coorinating with Israel
and other Arab and Sunni countries in their wars against ISIS. Jerulaem Post
once qouted Popmeo in December 7th 2017 in a report saying that “Saudi Arabia
and Israel work together. Also previously the Israeli energy minister Yuval
Steinitz in a radio interview announced that there are many contacts between
the two countries, but that Ryath has demanded these contacts remain not
revealed.
- On October 2017, the chief of intelligence of
both countris have met to discuss and exchange their views about American
foriegn policy in the region. Also the
former chief of intellience of Prince Turky Al Faisal have presented a speach
along with former chief of Mosad Efraim Halevy and the former was even ready to
participate in a symposium at the Center of Jewish Community in New York.
- Both countries
have felt the increasingly threatening impact of Iranian expansionsim and its
risk to the political and economic hegemony of Saudi Arabia and Israel. Gadi
Eizenkot, chief of Israeli military has told Elaf Saudi Newspaper that Israel
is willing to share intellegence regarding Iran with Saudi Arabia. Eizenkot
says "We are ready to exchange our experiences and intellegence
informations with Saudi Arabia and other moderate Arab States so that we can
confront Iran".
The
self-preparations of the United States of America in its forming of coalitions
and contacts with the other countries of the Middle East is a subject that
needs further scrutiny and we do see that risks as the Iranian plan is to
control the Middle East through creating two Shiitee Crescent:
First, this
Shiitte crescent passes through Iraq to Syria and Lebnanon
Second, it also crosses Arab Gulf Countries from
Bahrain to Yemen and Red Sea.This can be achieved through political parties and
Militias whether directly and or indirectly are supported by Iran just like the
Shiitte Popular Mobilization Forces in Iraq who are supported by Iran and or
Lebanon Hizbulla, Hussies of Yemen, and other Shiitte groups affiliated with
Iran and are operating in Gulf Countries.
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